Netanyahu out by...?48%chanceDecember 3148%YesNoJuly 311%YesNo$123.9M Vol.Dec 31 · GeopoliticsPotential payout$25→$5331 trading now
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?7%chanceDecember 317%YesNoOctober 312%YesNo$17.6M Vol.Dec 31 · GeopoliticsPotential payout$25→$38571 trading now
Next leader out of power before 2027?99%chanceNetanyahu - Israel PM1%YesNoStarmer - UK PM1%YesNoTakaichi - Japan PM1%YesNo+5 more$7.8M Vol.Dec 31 · GeopoliticsPotential payout$25→$2550 trading now
Iran coup attempt by...?16%chanceYes 16¢No 85¢$2.1M Vol.Dec 31 · GeopoliticsPotential payout$25→$16177 trading now
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?89%chanceZaporizhia5%YesNoDopropillia89%YesNoDruzkhivka51%YesNo+5 more$650K Vol.Dec 31 · GeopoliticsPotential payout$25→$2855 trading now
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?6%chanceYes 6¢No 94¢$218K Vol.Dec 31 · GeopoliticsPotential payout$25→$42450 trading now
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by...?99%chanceYes 99¢No 1¢$199K Vol.Sep 30 · GeopoliticsPotential payout$25→$2529 trading now
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by...?99%chanceSeptember 3099%YesNoDecember 3199%YesNo$187K Vol.Dec 31 · GeopoliticsPotential payout$25→$2537 trading now
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations33%chanceMacky Sall7%YesNoRafael Grossi14%YesNoRebeca Grynspan33%YesNo+5 more$159K Vol.Dec 31 · GeopoliticsPotential payout$25→$7765 trading now
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?99%chanceSeptember 3099%YesNoDecember 3199%YesNo$116K Vol.Dec 31 · GeopoliticsPotential payout$25→$2539 trading now
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?10%chanceYes 10¢No 90¢$82K Vol.Dec 31 · GeopoliticsPotential payout$25→$25055 trading now
Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?44%chanceDecember 3144%YesNoSeptember 309%YesNo$65K Vol.Dec 31 · GeopoliticsPotential payout$25→$5744 trading now