
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
$2.9M Vol.Dec 31Politics34 trading now
Yes
23%
23%
chance
23%
77%
On October 8, an agreement on an initial ceasefire (Phase 1) was announced, constituting a halt in fighting, a partial Israeli pullback to a “yellow line,” prisoner swaps, expanded aid, and the release of hostages. A second phase of the deal, yet to be negotiated, is expected to address further Israeli withdrawal, Hamas’s disarmament, and the establishment of new security and governance arrangemen
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A Theorem Markets contract on whether “Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?” occurs. Traders buy Yes or No shares; the live price is the crowd’s implied probability.