Next Claude Opus released by...?
$1.3M Vol.Dec 31AI44 trading now
October 31
99%
99%
chance
99%
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku,
- · Resolver: official source named in the market description.
- · Deadline: closing date in UTC.
- · Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.
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A Theorem Markets contract on whether “Next Claude Opus released by...?” occurs. Traders buy Yes or No shares; the live price is the crowd’s implied probability.