US announces blockade on Iran by...?

$3.0M Vol.Dec 31Iran34 trading now
Yes
99%

99%

chance

99%
1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the imposition of a naval blockade on Iran, or on ships traveling to or from Iranian ports, or on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve

  • · Resolver: official source named in the market description.
  • · Deadline: closing date in UTC.
  • · Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.

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A Theorem Markets contract on whether “US announces blockade on Iran by...?” occurs. Traders buy Yes or No shares; the live price is the crowd’s implied probability.

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